Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#125
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#148
Pace76.6#55
Improvement+1.6#113

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#224
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#126
Layup/Dunks-0.7#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#316
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement-2.1#278

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#53
First Shot+4.6#48
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#138
Layups/Dunks-2.5#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#14
Freethrows+1.0#100
Improvement+3.7#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round6.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 91   @ Tennessee L 78-82 27%     0 - 1 +4.9 +3.3 +1.9
  Nov 15, 2015 194   @ Western Carolina L 81-90 57%     0 - 2 -8.1 +5.3 -12.9
  Nov 21, 2015 16   @ Texas A&M L 47-75 8%     0 - 3 -9.3 -14.9 +5.1
  Nov 26, 2015 230   Drexel W 85-66 74%     1 - 3 +14.9 +14.1 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2015 130   Middle Tennessee L 61-63 51%     1 - 4 +0.4 -6.9 +7.2
  Nov 28, 2015 175   Loyola Chicago W 59-48 63%     2 - 4 +10.2 -11.8 +22.1
  Dec 13, 2015 296   Campbell W 80-60 91%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +8.2 -5.1 +12.1
  Dec 15, 2015 155   East Tennessee St. W 84-64 68%     4 - 4 +17.8 +6.3 +11.0
  Dec 19, 2015 70   @ Georgetown W 79-73 22%     5 - 4 +16.9 +10.0 +6.9
  Dec 21, 2015 156   Elon L 81-86 69%     5 - 5 -7.5 -6.7 +0.0
  Dec 29, 2015 168   Furman W 67-65 72%     6 - 5 -1.4 -8.6 +7.2
  Dec 31, 2015 291   @ Longwood W 70-61 79%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +3.3 -15.7 +17.9
  Jan 02, 2016 280   @ Liberty W 76-69 76%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +2.3 -3.7 +5.6
  Jan 06, 2016 154   Winthrop W 85-84 68%     9 - 5 4 - 0 -1.2 +0.3 -1.6
  Jan 09, 2016 299   @ Charleston Southern W 83-73 80%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +3.9 +5.0 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2016 227   @ Radford L 86-91 OT 64%     10 - 6 5 - 1 -6.0 -2.1 -3.0
  Jan 16, 2016 233   Gardner-Webb W 75-69 82%     11 - 6 6 - 1 -1.2 -8.0 +6.1
  Jan 20, 2016 149   @ High Point L 69-73 45%     11 - 7 6 - 2 -0.1 -11.9 +12.2
  Jan 23, 2016 318   Presbyterian W 67-55 93%     12 - 7 7 - 2 -1.7 -8.8 +7.4
  Jan 27, 2016 166   @ Coastal Carolina L 66-68 OT 51%     12 - 8 7 - 3 +0.5 -10.6 +11.3
  Jan 30, 2016 291   Longwood W 88-74 90%     13 - 8 8 - 3 +2.5 +3.4 -1.6
  Feb 03, 2016 299   Charleston Southern W 63-55 91%     14 - 8 9 - 3 -3.9 -14.5 +10.8
  Feb 06, 2016 296   @ Campbell W 81-71 79%     15 - 8 10 - 3 +4.0 -5.0 +8.0
  Feb 11, 2016 227   Radford L 59-60 81%     15 - 9 10 - 4 -7.8 -10.5 +2.6
  Feb 18, 2016 318   @ Presbyterian W 70-61 84%     16 - 9 11 - 4 +1.1 -3.8 +5.0
  Feb 20, 2016 154   @ Winthrop L 80-81 46%     16 - 10 11 - 5 +2.7 +0.6 +2.1
  Feb 25, 2016 280   Liberty W 73-56 89%     17 - 10 12 - 5 +6.5 -2.3 +9.5
  Feb 27, 2016 166   Coastal Carolina L 79-81 72%     17 - 11 12 - 6 -5.3 +2.2 -7.4
  Mar 04, 2016 280   Liberty W 80-49 83%     18 - 11 +23.4 -2.5 +23.8
  Mar 05, 2016 149   High Point W 80-69 57%     19 - 11 +12.0 +1.4 +10.2
  Mar 06, 2016 154   Winthrop W 77-68 57%     20 - 11 +9.8 -2.7 +11.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.0 0.0 5.2 94.3 0.5
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 5.2 94.3 0.5